Pro Capital Rates: Australian Bond Market Steadies as Yield Curve Steepens
In the first quarter of 2025, Australia’s bond market demonstrated renewed resilience as the yield curve bull‑steepened , according to analytics from Pro Capital Rates ’ Fixed Income Desk . The 3‑year government bond yield dropped by 12 basis points , while the 10‑year yield rose modestly—by approximately 5 bps—bringing the 10‑year yield to 4.85% . This combination reinforced a steeper curve profile that underpinned stable income expectations amid evolving policy dynamics. “The curve’s steepening signals investor confidence in carry, with shorter maturities grinding lower while long-end yields remain supported,” said Gary Kingshott , Managing Director at Pro Capital Rates. 📉 Yield Curve Dynamics: Key Metrics Tenor Start of Q1 Yield End of Q1 Yield Change (bps) 3-Year Govt Bond 3.78% 3.66% –12 5-Year Govt Bond 4.12% 4.28% 16 10-Year Govt Bond 4.80% 4.85% 5 This slight steepening contrasts with previous quarters' flattening and reflects recalibrating expectations around rate cuts a...